Cowboys vs. Titans odds, picks: point spread, total, player props, live stream for ‘Thursday Night Football’

Two NFL teams from opposing conferences face off this Thursday night, as the Dallas Cowboys travel to Music City to take on the Tennessee Titans. The Cowboys and the Titans are moving in different directions. On the one hand, Dallas has won five of its last six games and is the No. 1 wild card in the NFC, while Tennessee is on a five-game losing streak and is in danger of missing the playoffs for the first time since 2018. .

Any NFL head coach will tell you there’s no game without meaning, but Thursday night’s result won’t affect the Titans from a playoff perspective. Their Week 18 rematch against the Jacksonville Jaguars will be for the AFC South title and the AFC No. 4 seed. Several Titans starters will not take the field Thursday night, such as Ryan Tannehill, Jeffery Simmons and Bud Dupree. Star running back Derrick Henry doubts playing with a hip problem.

Can Malik Willis give Dak Prescott a hard time? Or will the Cowboys’ tenacious passing rush dominate the day? Below, we’ll break down this match from a gameplay perspective and look at line movement, Over/Under, and player props to consider. First, here’s how you can watch the game.

All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.

How to watch

Date: Thursday, December 29 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: Nissan Stadium (Nashville)
Flux: Amazon Prime Video
To follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Cowboys -12.5, O/U 39.5

Featured Game | Tennessee Titans vs. Dallas Cowboys

injury report

  • Cowboys: LB Leighton Vander Esch (neck) OUT; RB Tony Pollard (thigh), LB Micah Parsons (hand) QUESTIONABLE
  • Titans: LB Dylan Cole (ankle), LB Zach Cunningham (elbow), LB Bud Dupree (pectoral), S Amani Hooker (knee), OT Nicholas Petit-Frere (ankle), QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle), DB Josh Thompson (concussion ), OF Jeffery Simmons (ankle) OUT; DE Denico Autry (biceps), CB Kristian Fulton (groin), RB Derrick Henry (hip) DOUBTFUL

The Cowboys will again be without Vander Esch due to his neck injury. Dallas has two stars listed as questionable, as Pollard didn’t practice all week with a thigh injury and Parsons was limited Tuesday and Wednesday with a hand problem. Even if both play, it will be interesting to see how long both players get against a shorthanded Titans team.

The Titans aren’t “sit-down” starters for this nearly meaningless prime-time game, but several starters won’t play. Tennessee is the most injured team in the NFL, and this Week 17 injury report proves it. Some of the more impactful players who fail to adapt include Tannehill, Simmons, Hooker and right tackle Petit-Frere. Those listed as doubtful also cannot play. Autry, Henry and Fulton are all hard-hitting players who are set to play this week.

line movement

This line reopened at DAL -3 on Wednesday, December 21, but quickly climbed to DAL -5 by the end of the day. The next day he climbed to DAL -6. On Sunday we saw a big jump, as the line climbed to DAL -9.5 at the end of Christmas Day. Last Monday, it went to DAL -10. Wednesday was another big day for the move as the line dipped from DAL -10 to DAL -12 before settling at DAL -12.5 from Thursday morning.

The pick: Cowboys -12.5. The Titans are a serious team, and that granularity earned them the No. 1 seed in the AFC last season despite playing with a different, NFL-record number of players due to ‘a wound. This season, the Titans just couldn’t overcome that adversity. Willis is a very raw rookie quarterback operating behind a terrible offensive line, and he has a substandard receiving corps and offensive coordinator to work with. The defense is playing hard, but they are hurt all over the place. We are considering a potential eruption.

Over/Under 39.5

The total reopened at 44.5 on Wednesday, December 21, but ended the day at 43.5. It finished Sunday at 42.5, then fell to 41.5 on Monday. On Tuesday it fell to 40.5, then to 39.5 on Wednesday.

The pick: Less than 39.5. Betting the total in a potential blowout is not something that always interests me. In the three games Willis has started, the most points scored have come against the Kansas City Chiefs with 37 points overall. Lean is Under, but that’s probably just something I’d stay away from unless you want to take another Under in a single game.

QB Accessories

player headshot

Touchdowns: 1.5 (more than -133, less than -103)
Passing yards: 235.5 (over -123, under -111)
Overtaking attempts: 29.5 (over -121, under -113)
Handover of completions: 19.5 (more than -133, less than -103)
Longest pass: 36.5 (more than -117, less than -117)
Interception: 0.5 (more than -117, less than -117)

I understand we’re looking at a potential blowout, but 235.5 passing yards for Prescott still seems low. He’s crossed that line in seven of 10 games played this season, including the 37-point win over the Minnesota Vikings. As for Prescott’s passing touchdowns, it’s hard not to lean there too. Again, Prescott has crossed that line in seven of 10 games played. Where I’m going to focus is on overtaking attempts. I also won’t touch Prescott’s interceptor prop.

player headshot

Touchdowns: 0.5 (more than -123, less than -111)
Interception: 0.5 (more than -204, less than +146)
Rushed construction sites: 40.5 (more than -117, less than -117)

Willis has yet to throw a passing touchdown, but Vegas thinks that’s likely to happen Thursday night. I tend to agree, but I like that he throws an interception and exceeds his rushing yards more. Willis rushed for 43 yards last week against the Houston Texans.

Other Gamer Accessories to Consider

Treylon Burks receiving yards: Over 21.5 (-119). I don’t think the Titans are going to tear it through the air, but Burks should cross that line. The rookie has reached that number in six of nine games played this season.

Dalton Schultz receiving yards: over 40.5 (-115). Schultz is averaging just 37.5 receiving yards per game this season, but with the Titans’ top inside linebackers, Schultz will have his chances of breaking away in the secondary.

Brett Maher total field goals: over 1.5 (-169). It’s juicy, but for good reason. Maher has hit that exact prop in each of his last three games. Have fun with him in a same game bet.

Same game bet

Ezekiel Elliott TD + Cowboys -6.5 = +122

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