Music City Bowl 2022 prediction, odds, line, spread: Kentucky vs. Iowa pick, best bets from a proven model

The 2022 Music City Bowl features the Iowa Hawkeyes battling the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday. Both teams head into this contest with a 7-5 record. These schools also met in a final bowling game. Kentucky outlasted Iowa 20-17 in the 2021 Citrus Bowl. Kentucky is 8-4 ATS, while Iowa is 7-5 ATS. Both teams will have new quarterbacks with Joe Labas expected to start for Iowa and Destin Wade getting the go-ahead for Kentucky. Kentucky quarterback Will Levis and running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. are among the NFL opt-out options in this one.

Kickoff from Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., is scheduled for noon ET. Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Iowa vs. Kentucky odds list the Hawkeyes as 2.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 31, the lowest total this bowl season. Before you lock in the Kentucky vs. Iowa picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine projection model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an astonishing profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top college football picks against the spread. Everyone who followed him saw huge returns.

Now the model has locked down on Kentucky vs. Iowa and has just revealed its 2022 Music City Bowl predictions. You can head over to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Iowa vs. Kentucky:

  • Iowa vs. Kentucky spread: Hawkeyes -2.5
  • Iowa vs. Kentucky over/under: 31 points
  • Silver line Iowa vs. Kentucky: Hawkeyes -145, Wildcats +122
  • IOWA: Hawkeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in last four bowl games
  • United Kingdom: Wildcats are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games
  • Iowa vs. Kentucky pick: See the picks on SportsLine

Featured game | Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Why Iowa Can Cover

Iowa did not allow teams to be effective in the air. The secondary is very disciplined and aware, ranking third in the Big Ten in passing yards allowed (173.8). Second-year defensive back Cooper DeJean is an agile and instinctive point guard. DeJean is a safe tackle, fourth on the team in total saves (68). The Iowa native deflected seven passes with a team-high four interceptions and two touchdowns. On November 12, he finished with 10 total tackles and a returned interception for 32 yards.

Iowa has question marks on offense, but the Hawkeyes give up very little defensively, which should give them a chance to cover against a struggling Kentucky team missing key pieces on offense. The Hawkeyes have given up just 277.9 total yards and 14.4 points per game this season, both ranked in the Big Ten’s top four.

Why Kentucky Can Cover

Kentucky also has exceptional defense, constantly swarming for the ball. The Wildcats have four players who have recorded at least 50 tackles during the year. This unit ranks third in the conference in total defense (320.2), second in passing yards allowed (173.4) and sixth in rush defense (146.8) in this contest. Junior linebacker D’Eryk Jackson is an instinctive force with a nose for the ball.

Jackson leads the team in total tackles (61), recording at least eight tackles in three of his last five games. Freshman safety Jordan Lovett finishes well against the run while making plays on the ball in coverage. Lovett is second on the team in total tackles (59) and tied for first in interceptions (2). The Kentucky native recorded seven tackles with one interception in consecutive games to end the season.

How to make choices between Kentucky and Iowa

The model leans into the total, projecting a combined 35 points. It also indicates that one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can see who to support on SportsLine.

So who wins Iowa against Kentucky? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to fall back to, all from the advanced model that crushed its top-rated college football picks, and find out.

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