Packers vs Eagles predictions: Odds, total, player props, picks, how to watch ‘Sunday Night Football’

The Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles wrap up Sunday’s Week 12 action when these NFC clubs face off at Lincoln Financial Field in prime time.

On Sunday, the Eagles are the No. 1 seed in the NFC at 9-1. That said, they’ve been a little shaky the past two weeks as they saw their perfect record broken against Washington and then needed a 14-point fourth quarter to defeat the Colts last Sunday. While Philly is atop the NFC standings, the Packers are currently outside the playoffs at 4-7. After falling to Tennessee in the Week 11 opener, Aaron Rodgers & Co. have lost six of their last seven games.

With all of that in mind, we’ll be looking specifically at the different betting angles this game has to offer. In addition to the spread and total, we’ll also be looking at several player props and handing in our picks for how we see this matchup playing out.

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

How to watch

Date: Sunday November 27 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)
TV:
BNC | Flow: fuboTV (try for free)
Follow: CBS Sports app
Odds: Eagles -6.5, O/U 46.5

line movement

Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers

This line has largely held since opening at Eagles -6.5 on anticipation. On Monday, Philly had the full touchdown, but it fell half a point on Wednesday and stayed at that number.

The choice: Eagles -6.5. It’s worth pointing out that the Eagles have struggled to stop the run since Jordan Davis fell, which could be a concern for those scoring here. That said, Green Bay didn’t really commit to a ground attack, despite having Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon in their backfield. As a team, the Packers run the football about 41% of the time, which ranks 18th in the NFL. If this trend continues, Green Bay should be hyper-efficient running the ball to take advantage of this weakness, which might be too much of a task. Meanwhile, Lincoln Financial Field has been a hotbed for Philadelphia and Eagles bettors, as the team covers 80% of its home games this season (the best in the NFL).

Key trend: The Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.

Upper/lower total

Unlike the total, there were more notable movements with the total. It opened at 45 and has since surged to 46.5. Most of this movement came in the aftermath of week 11, as it rose 1.5 points on Monday.

The choice: More than 46.5. Green Bay’s passing game has seen an uptick in recent weeks with the emergence of rookie Christian Watson, who has scored five touchdowns in his last two games. As we noted above, Philly’s run defense has also been a bit slippery in recent weeks, which could give the Packers – who are averaging just 18.4 points per game (26th in the NFL) – more opportunities to help drive this total. As for the Eagles, they have a top-five scoring offense in the NFL and are averaging 27 points per game at home.

Key trend: Over bets are 9-1 in the Eagles’ last 10 home games.

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  • Touchdowns: 1.5 (more than +110, less than -151)
  • Passing yards: 226.5 (more than -117, less than -117)
  • Ground course: 48.5 (Over -113, Under -121)
  • Achievements: 18.5 (Over -131, Under -104)
  • Success attempts: 29.5 (Over +108, Under -148)
  • Hasty attempts: 10.5 (Over +108, Under -148)
  • Completion of the longest pass: 37.5 (over -111, under -123)
  • Interception: 0.5 (more than +114, less than -157)

Jalen Hurts had a string of multi-pass touchdown games before throwing just one last week against Indy. I think he’ll start throwing for multiple scores again against a Packers defense that’s allowed 2.7 touchdown passes per game the past three weeks (the second-worst in the NFL over that span). It’s also worth pointing out that Hurts started using his legs heavily again last week against the Colts, recording 16 carries. With its rushing attempts at 10.5 plus-money, it’s worth looking up to see if this trend continues.

Accessories by Aaron Rodgers

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  • Touchdowns: More than 1.5 (more than +120, less than -166)
  • Passing yards: 224.5 (over -131, under -104)
  • Rushed construction sites: 2.5 (more than -109, less than -125)
  • Achievements: 21.5 (Over -123, Under -111)
  • Success attempts: 34.5 (Over -106, Under -129)
  • Completion of the longest pass: 33.5 (over -123, under -111)
  • Interception: 0.5 (more than +106, less than -145)

Rodgers has surpassed that total in seven of 11 games played this season. Philadelphia’s secondary has been strong this season, but they just allowed Matt Ryan to complete 71.8% of his shots last week. At more money, it’s also worth sprinkling something on Rodgers’ touchdown accessory as he’s already thrown multiple scores in eight games this season, including back-to-back weeks in this game.

Player accessories to consider

Miles Sanders total rushing yards: over 65.5 (-131). While we’ve talked about the difficulty of the Eagles’ run defense lately, Green Bay’s inability to stop the run is also worth noting. The Packers rank 29th in the NFL in DVOA against the run and give up 135.8 rushing yards per game (25th). Heading into Week 12, Sanders is averaging 15.6 carries per game in this Eagles offense. With that volume, it should be able to exceed that number even with an inefficient throw.

Total receiving yards for Allen Lazard: over 46.5 (-117). While Christian Watson has emerged as a threat in the Packers’ passing attack, Lazard is still a heavily backed outlet for Aaron Rodgers. Last week he saw 11 targets, the second time in three weeks he’s seen double-digit looks. If this volume continues, it will have an excellent opportunity to exceed this figure. Lazard has already exceeded that total receiving yards in five of his games this season, including four of his last five.

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