ReliaQuest Bowl 2023 prediction, odds: Mississippi State pick vs. Illinois, best bets from a proven model

Teams looking to end their seasons on a high face off when the Mississippi State Bulldogs take on Illinois Fighting Illini in the 2023 ReliaQuest Bowl on Monday. The Bulldogs (8-4), who finished tied for third with Ole Miss in the SEC West at 4-4 under the late coach Mike Leach, are looking to win their 10th game since 1999, and their second in three years. The Fighting Illini (8-4), who tied for second with Iowa and Minnesota in the Big Ten West at 5-4, are looking for their first bowl victory since 2011. It will be the first appearance at the Illinois Bowl since 2019.

Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., is scheduled for noon ET. The all-time series is tied 1-1, with Mississippi State earning a 28-21 victory when they last met in 1980. The Bulldogs are the 2.5-point favorites in the final odds of the Mississippi State vs. Illinois from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is set at 46. College football predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an astonishing profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top college football picks against the spread. Everyone who followed him saw huge returns.

Now, the model has locked down on Illinois vs. Mississippi State and has just revealed its 2023 ReliaQuest Bowl predictions. You can head over to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Mississippi State vs. Illinois:

  • Difference Mississippi State vs. Illinois: Mississippi State -2.5
  • Mississippi State vs. Illinois over/under: 46 points
  • Mississippi State vs. Illinois Money Line: Mississippi State -140, Illinois +118
  • MSU: Bulldogs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games
  • ILL: Fighting Illini are 9-2-1 ATS against a team with a winning record
  • Mississippi State pick vs. Illinois: See picks on SportsLine

Featured game | Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Why Mississippi State Can Cover

Junior quarterback Will Rogers will be looking to start the offense after a strong regular season. In 12 games behind center, he completed 386 of 566 passes (68.2%) for 3,713 yards and 34 touchdowns with just six interceptions and a rating of 141. He threw seven times for 300 yards or more, including a season-high 450 yards. in a season-opening 49-23 win over Memphis. In that game, he completed 38 of 49 passes (77.6%) for five touchdowns and one interception. He’s thrown for 11 touchdowns over the past four games, including five in a 56-7 win over East Tennessee State on Nov. 19.

With second-year wide receiver Rara Thomas in the transfer gate, redshirt senior Caleb Ducking will be among those ready to take over. Ducking finished the regular season with 44 receptions for 467 yards (10.6 average) and eight touchdowns. He had at least two receptions in every game, including a performance of seven catches, 96 yards and two touchdowns against Bowling Green in a 45-14 victory on September 24. He also had seven catches for 56 yards and a pair of scores. in a 39-17 win at Arizona on September 10.

Why Illinois Can Cover

Even so, the Bulldogs aren’t a lock to cover the gap between Mississippi State and Illinois. That’s because the Fighting Illini are led by senior quarterback Tommy DeVito, who ranks third in the nation with 69.9 percent passing. His passer rating of 142.3 is on course to break Illini’s record of 141.6 set by Wes Lunt in 2014. For the year, he completed 234 of 335 passes for 2,397 yards and 15 touchdowns with four interceptions. He completed 24 of 32 passes (75%) for 332 yards and three touchdowns in a 31-0 win over Tennessee-Chattanooga on September 22.

The nation’s second-top rusher, junior Chase Brown, will not play after declaring himself for the NFL Draft. In his place will be second-year running back Reggie Love III and leading running back Chase Hayden. Love carried 59 times for 277 yards (4.7 average) and two touchdowns, while Hayden carried 22 times for 87 yards (4.0 average). In the season finale at Northwestern, Love showed his skills, carrying 11 times for 85 yards (7.7 average) and a touchdown.

How to Choose Between Illinois and Mississippi State

The model leans Under on the total, projecting a combined 43 points. It also indicates that one side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time. You can see who to support on SportsLine.

So who wins Mississippi State against Illinois? And which side of the gap hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to fall back to, all from the advanced model that crushed its top-rated college football picks, and find out.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *