Seahawks vs 49ers: Time, how to watch, live stream, key matches, prediction for ‘Thursday Night Football’

Now on their third quarterback, the San Francisco 49ers continue to roll nonetheless, as they have won six straight games following a loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 7. On Thursday night, the Niners head north to face their division. rivals, the Seattle Seahawks, for the Week 15 edition of Thursday Night Football.

San Francisco hasn’t allowed more than 17 points since the aforementioned loss to the Chiefs, as it forced Seattle into its worst offensive performance of the season when those two teams first met this year. The Seahawks are surely looking to get back on track and revive their playoff hopes here, having now lost three of their last four games, including two to other NFC playoff hopefuls.

Will the Niners keep rolling with their Brock Purdy at the helm, or will the Seahawks get back on track? We will find out soon enough. In the meantime, here’s a look at how you can watch the game.

How to watch

Date: Thursday, December 15 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Lumen Field (Seattle)
Stream: Amazon Prime Video
Follow: CBS Sports app
Odds: 49ers -3, O/U 43

When the 49ers have the ball

San Francisco just can’t stop getting bitten by the injury bug. Deebo Samuel was the last star to fall, but luckily it looks like he’ll be able to return by the time the Niners get to the playoffs. He will be absent from this game, however, depriving third-string quarterback Brock Purdy of one of his best weapons. Purdy himself is listed as questionable for the contest after being restricted to practices throughout the week due to rib and oblique injuries sustained in last week’s win over the Buccaneers.

If Purdy can’t go and Josh Johnson starts under center, anyone can guess what that offense will look like. (Johnson is on his 14th NFL team, but he technically has some experience attacking Shanahan after spending time with the Niners and Jets in 2021.) We’ll operate on the assumption that Purdy will play, to which case we should see San Francisco execute something resembling their usual attack.

The Niners haven’t changed much with Purdy under center in place of Jimmy Garoppolo, and in his last two appearances he’s completed 41 of 58 passes for 395 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. (He was 4 of 9 for 66 yards and a timed pick against the Chiefs earlier this year.) Purdy’s play rate is almost identical to those posted by Garoppolo and Trey Lance earlier this season, and his time to launch the cast is remarkably similar to that of Garoppolo. He’s been a bit more willing than Jimmy G to hustle under pressure and more adventurous in throwing the ball downfield and off the numbers, but beyond that you could be forgiven for not really noticing that the Niners had a different guy there. .

Without Samuel, everything in this offense will revolve around Christian McCaffrey, although Brandon Aiyuk will function as the primary target on the perimeter. CMC has 41 touches for 299 yards and two scores in the Niners’ last two games, and Shanahan was seemingly happy to move him into the lineup to create matchup advantages. The opportunity to do so should be right there for him again Thursday night against a Seattle defense that has given up at least 161 rushing yards in each of the last four games and allowed the sixth-most receptions in the NFL and the third most receiving yards to the enemy running. back so far this season.

Seattle seems to have found a future star in cornerback Tariq Woolen, but the Seahawks’ opponent in this contest is one of the teams least likely in the league to challenge their area of ​​the field. Shanahan’s offense is designed around passing through midfield before anything else, and between McCaffrey, Aiyuk and George Kittle, they have a trio of weapons the Seahawks aren’t particularly well equipped to handle. Unless Seattle’s pass rush takes a significant (and surprising) step forward so they can dominate this game in the trenches, it’s hard to see how the Seahawks will consistently get saves. They haven’t against the Buccaneers, Raiders, Rams and Panthers in the last four games, so there’s no particular reason to think they will against the 49ers.

When the Seahawks have the ball

In Week 2, Seattle’s offense played its worst game of the season, against this 49ers defense.

The Seahawks were limited to just 216 total yards, 14 first downs and seven points — all season lows. They also returned the ball three times, a season high. It was Geno Smith’s worst game of the year in adjusted net yards per attempt (which factors in touchdowns, interceptions and yards last for sacks), and it’s not particularly close. Smith completed 24 of his 30 attempts in this contest, but almost all of them were close to the line of scrimmage as Seattle only had two passes to gain more than 12 yards.

The 49ers’ defense is designed to limit explosive plays in the passing game, and they have indeed allowed the fourth-fewest completions of 10 or more yards this season, and the fifth-fewest of 20 or more yards. In total, the opponents have created an explosive game on just 6.3% of their losses against San Francisco, a rate that exceeds that of the Cowboys, Eagles, Jets and Saints. The Seahawks are a team that seeks those explosive wins quite often, but might struggle to access them against this defense.

San Francisco is typically among the best defenses in the NFL to press with just four defenders rushing the passer, though that’s been a little less true this year with Arik Armstead missing so much time. Still, the Niners rarely send extra rushers past the opposing quarterback (20.8% blitz rate, per Tru Media), instead preferring to keep extra defenders in coverage. Seattle’s offensive line held up better than expected for a group starting two rookie tackles (Charles Cross and Abraham Lucas), and Smith mostly did a good job of navigating the pocket and getting the ball out quickly while pushing it. down. field. (He’s been pressured at a rate slightly below league average this season, according to Tru Media.)

That combination was hard to come by against the 49ers, though, due to their combination of passing rushing and covering. San Francisco plays aggressively on the perimeter and has two of the best midfielders in the league, linebackers Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw. Charvarius Ward is also well equipped to line up opposite DK Metcalf due to his size and physicality and Deommodore Lenoir came out on top as the Niners second corner.

Seattle has largely tried to leave Geno Cook this season, even in games where their backfield was healthy. With Kenneth Walker and DeeJay Dallas still bumped and sat a few days ago, and with Travis Homer more than one back anyway, it seems likely the Seahawks will lean on Smith again to drive their offensive success. . This is simply not the right combination for this strategy to succeed.

Featured Game | Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers

Prediction: 49ers 26, Seahawks 17

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