The most important midterm elections to watch ahead of Election Day

EElection day is a week away and the 2022 midterm races are entering their final sprint.

Republicans hope that Americans’ frustration with inflation and the economy, as well as rising crime, will cloud their worries about the Supreme Court Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization decision annulling Roe vs. Wade.

Conversely, Democrats hope to make abortion a centerpiece of the election, but also hope to point the finger at “MAGA Republicans” as threats to democracy and spotlight the Jan. 6 insurrection.

Here are the most important elections to watch this cycle.

Nevada Senate

Republicans haven’t won a Senate race in the silver state since 2012. President Joe Biden won the state by roughly the same margin as Hillary Clinton, but his approval rating remains low in the state at 44%, according to CBS News/YouGov. survey.

A New York Times/ A Siena College poll shows Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, the first Latina senator, beating former Attorney General Adam Laxalt by 0.4 percentage points, making it a virtual tie.

At the same time, polls have historically missed the mark in Nevada. Therefore, the best barometer to see who is ahead is early voting, which started last weekend.

The Covid-19 pandemic has devastated the state’s hospitality industry as many Latinos grow increasingly disillusioned with the Democratic Party. All of this makes Nevada the most likely Senate seat to flip.

Former President Donald Trump visited Nevada this month to build support for his favorite candidate. Ms. Cortez Masto for her part criticized Mr. Laxalt for promoting the big lie that the 2020 presidential election was stolen. Meanwhile, former President Barack Obama, who won the state in 2008 and 2012 by wide margins, will travel to Las Vegas this week to replace Ms Cortez Masto.

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Pennsylvania Senate

The race to replace incumbent Senator Pat Toomey has easily become the ugliest and most intensely personal race of the 2022 midterm cycle. Last week, Democratic Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman took on the Republican nominee and former doctor television Mehmet Oz in their only debate.

Mr. Fetterman, who had a stroke in May before primary, had to use closed captioning to help with auditory processing, which sometimes caused him to have difficulty answering questions. Yet his campaign said he raised $2 million within 24 hours of the debate and ran an ad slamming Dr. Oz for saying “abortion should be a woman’s business, of his doctor and his local political leaders”. An InsiderAdvantage poll taken the day after the debate showed Dr. Oz taking the lead.

But the Time/The Siena College poll – which was taken between October 24 and 26, a day after the debate – showed Mr Fetterman with a five-point lead. On Saturday, Mr. Trump will travel to Latrobe to campaign for Dr. Oz while Mr. Obama will take the state by storm in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.

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Georgia Senate

The Georgia Senate race came to the fore this month afterThe daily beast reported that Republican candidate Herschel Walker allegedly paid for a woman’s abortion despite her vocal opposition during the election campaign. The New York Times later corroborated the story and reported that Mr. Walker pressured the same woman into having an abortion again, which she refused. The Independent reached out to the Walker campaign. During an interview with NBC News, Mr Walker admitted writing the check but denied it was an abortion. Last week another woman came forward and alleged that Mr Walker drove her to have a

No bad press has deterred Republicans from backing Mr Walker as he challenges Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock. The two faced off in a single debate this month, in which Mr Walker accused Mr Warnock of being an automatic buffer for Mr Biden’s agenda. Meanwhile, Mr Warnock slammed Mr Walker, a former University of Georgia running back, for claiming to be a police officer, leading to Mr Walker flashing an honorary badge he received . Polls were mixed, with an InsiderAdvantage/Fox 5 poll showing Mr. Walker leading Mr. Walker by three points, but the Time/ Siena College poll showing Mr. Warnock leading by three points. If no candidate obtains a majority of votes, the race will end in a second round.

Governor of Arizona

Multiple polls show Democratic Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs trailing Republican candidate and former news anchor Kari Lake, with an InsiderAdvantage poll showing Ms Lake with a whopping 11-point lead. Ms Lake forcefully repeated Mr Trump’s lies about stealing the 2020 presidential election, while Ms Hobbs became the target of threats as she oversaw the election.

In an interview with CNN this month, Ms Lake did not commit to accepting the election results, repeatedly saying “I will win the election and I will accept this result”.

But many Democrats fear Ms. Hobbs squandered her chances to overthrow the Arizona governorship after refusing to debate Ms. Lake. On the same Sunday as Ms Lake’s interview with CNN, host Dana Bash asked if Ms Hobbs supported limits on abortion, which Ms Hobbs dodged. Polls show the two are locked in a tight race. The race could determine whether a Republican like Ms. Lake could defy the will of the people if the state votes for a Democrat and refuses to certify election results in favor of a Republican.

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Arizona Senate

The Arizona Senate race is far less swingy, though still contested. Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly leads Republican businessman Blake Masters, a protege of venture capitalist Peter Thiel, in most polls. The Time/ A Siena survey showed Mr. Kelly had a six-point lead and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell saved money his Senate Leadership Fund sent to defend a once-held seat by John McCain and Barry Goldwater.

Mr Kelly hit out at Mr Masters in their debate for also deleting parts of his ‘big lie’ website. Mr. Masters, for his part, has tried to tie Mr. Kelly to Mr. Biden, who, despite winning the state in 2020, is unpopular.

Mr Kelly released an announcement saying he supported narrowing the gaps at the US-Mexico border, saying he stands ‘on the left when they want to take defunding from the police, and I stand on the right when they want a national abortion ban. before adding, “when Joe Biden is wrong, I call him.”

Governor of Florida and Texas

Incumbent Republican Governors Ron DeSantis of Florida and Greg Abbott of Texas caused a stir nationwide by sending immigrants and refugees to Democratic areas of the country to criticize the Biden administration’s policies regarding the US-Mexico border. But despite criticism from Democrats, both men are in a strong position to be re-elected. A strong showing from Mr. DeSantis, who has emerged as a right-wing hero after keeping the state mostly open during the Covid-19 pandemic, could well position him to run for president in a 2024 Republican primary.

While Democrat Beto O’Rouke has repeatedly criticized Mr. Abbott for his positions on guns and abortion in their debate and on the campaign trail, a Quinnipiac poll showed Mr. Abbott ahead of Mr. O ‘Rourke by seven points in the poll and most voters rank the economy. as the biggest issue tracked by the Texas-Mexico border.

Meanwhile, Mr. DeSantis and Charlie Crist, a former Republican governor turned Democratic congressman, debated last week. While Mr. DeSantis holds a double-digit lead, he declined to answer a question from Mr. Crist asking whether he would serve a full four-year term.

Wisconsin Senate

Wisconsin Democrats called in the big guns to salvage their chances of overturning the Wisconsin Senate race: Former President Barack Obama campaigned for Milwaukee to oppose Senate candidates, delivering a searing barnstorming speech hitting M Johnson for his support of cutting Social Security. Mr Barnes has faced off in two debates this month. Mr Barnes tried to paint Mr Johnson as an extremist for downplaying the January 6 riot and trying to overturn the 2020 presidential election, as well as his stance on abortion.

After initially leading the race, Republicans hammered Mr Barnes saying he supported police defunding, and CNN reported there is evidence he supported at least moving police defunding to other areas. The Republican appears to have a slight advantage, as a CNN poll showed Mr Johnson beating Mr Barnes 50-49%.

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