UCF vs Duke live stream, watch online, tv channel, prediction, pick, Military Bowl odds, spread

Wednesday’s Military Bowl will pit UCF against Duke in what is an intriguing matchup on paper between the Five Eyes and the Power Five. The Knights (9-4, 6-3 AAC) are coming off a 45-28 loss to Tulane in the AAC Championship Game while the Blue Devils (8-4, 5-3 ACC) have won four of their five final games, including a 34-31 win over Wake Forest to close out the regular season.

Both teams have flown under the radar this season, as Tulane got most of the AAC eyeballs and Duke didn’t have much luck in the ACC title chase.

What will happen on Wednesday afternoon? Let’s break down the game and make a choice.

How to watch Military Bowl live

Date: Wednesday December 28 | Time: 2 p.m. ET
Location: Navy-Marine Corp Memorial Stadium — Annapolis, Maryland
TV: ESP | Direct: fuboTV (Try for free)

UCF vs. Duke: Need to Know

The impact of John Rhys Plumlee: The dynamic Knights quarterback has 2,404 passing yards and 14 passing touchdowns as well as 841 rushing yards and 11 rushing touchdowns. However, he is nursing a hamstring injury. Coach Gus Malzahn’s offense typically relies on a difference-maker at quarterback, and it’ll be interesting to see how he uses Plumlee if he’s not 100 percent. Mikey Keene has moved to Fresno State, which likely means Thomas Castellanos will be Plumlee’s replacement if Malzahn has to go a different direction.

Riley Leonard is no slouch either: The Duke quarterback leads the team in passing yards (2,794) and rushing yards (636), and will face a defense that gave up 156.54 rushing yards per game in the regular season. He gave up 248 yards or more in his last three games and allowed Tulane to throw up 8.19 yards per attempt in the AAC Championship Game. Leonard hasn’t had a lot of love this year, but this game sets up well for the second to make a name for himself.

The third down will be huge: UCF ranks 20th in the conference in third offense, converting 46.15 percent of their chances. On the other hand, Duke’s defense has been a sieve on third downs, allowing teams to move chains 43.64 percent of the time (114th nationally). If Duke can’t get the Knights off the field, it’s going to be a long afternoon in Annapolis.

Military Bowl prediction, picks

Featured game | Duke Blue Devils vs. UCF Knights

UCF’s offense is just too dynamic for this Duke defense and will take the outright victory despite being a three-point underdog. The combination of Malzahn and prep time indicates the Knights will get ultra-creative, which means big plays everywhere. Prediction: UCF (+3)

What college football picks can you confidently make this bowl season, and which underdogs will win outright? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a proven computer model that’s brought in nearly $2,500 in profit over the past six-plus seasons — and find out.

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